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Cameroon

4 objects, each built so its context cannot be cropped away. Every one states the scenario range rather than a single value, carries the confidence level and the date the evidence was last checked, and links back to the full page it came from.

Copy a card's link to share it. Screenshot one and the qualifications come with it, because they are inside the frame rather than under it.

Country outlook · Central Africa

Cameroon

Three scenarios, two horizons. The range is the finding — a single number would imply knowledge nobody has.

Measure	Latest observed	2031	2036
Output per person	$1,972 2025	$1,977 – $2,224	$1,981 – $2,458
Electricity access	72% 2024	77% – 82%	80% – 87%
Internet use	46% 2024	56% – 66%	62% – 75%

Growth bands: 0.04% · 1.03% · 2.02% a year per person, from Cameroon's own 15-year record (2011–2025) — mean ± 0.85 standard deviations, clamped to its own 5th–95th percentile. Not an outside estimate of what this country might do.

Who this outlook leaves out

A cohort that reaches working age faster than jobs, training places or clinics are built
Off-grid communities, whose wait lengthens if capital concentrates on urban and industrial load
Families one illness away from selling productive assets

2031 versus 2036 · Cameroon

Two horizons, asked the same question

By 2031

Household electricity access moves from 72% of the population (2024) to between 77% and 82% by 2031, depending on the scenario. Simple continuation gives 79% — a rise of 7.3 percentage points.
In people rather than percentages: about 7.2 million would still be without it in 2031 under continuation — 1.2 million fewer than in 2024, because the population grows as the share improves.
Internet use moves from 46.3% of the population (2024) to between 56% and 66% by 2031, depending on the scenario. Simple continuation gives 60% — a rise of 14.1 percentage points.
In people rather than percentages: about 13.7 million would still be without it in 2031 under continuation — 2.4 million fewer than in 2024, because the population grows as the share improves.
Output per person spans $1,977 to $2,224 by 2031. The $247 between them is under a quarter of today's $1,972.
That spread is the distance between scenarios, not a margin of error — and it is a national average, which does not identify whose income moved.
The population reaches about 34.6 million — roughly 4.7 million more people than in 2025, about 20 million of them of working age.
This figure is the same in all three scenarios. Most of the people who will be alive in 2031 have already been born.

By 2036

Household electricity access moves from 72% of the population (2024) to between 80% and 87% by 2036, depending on the scenario. Simple continuation gives 83% — a rise of 11.4 percentage points.
In people rather than percentages: about 6.4 million would still be without it in 2036 under continuation — 1.9 million fewer than in 2024, because the population grows as the share improves.
Internet use moves from 46.3% of the population (2024) to between 62% and 75% by 2036, depending on the scenario. Simple continuation gives 68% — a rise of 21.8 percentage points.
In people rather than percentages: about 12.4 million would still be without it in 2036 under continuation — 3.7 million fewer than in 2024, because the population grows as the share improves.
Output per person spans $1,981 to $2,458 by 2036. The $477 between them is under a quarter of today's $1,972.
That spread is the distance between scenarios, not a margin of error — and it is a national average, which does not identify whose income moved.
The population reaches about 38.7 million — roughly 8.9 million more people than in 2025, about 23.1 million of them of working age.
This figure is the same in all three scenarios. Most of the people who will be alive in 2036 have already been born.

What has to happen first

Cameroon has published a national AI strategy. Recorded as approved: it still has to be funded and staffed before it counts as a change in how things work.
For the Acceleration band to describe the decade, growth per person has to hold near 2% a year. This country has reached that rate before — its best year in the window was 2.7% — but has not sustained it across the 15-year record the band is drawn from.

What the growth model cannot see · Cameroon

Political instability & conflict

Binding constraint — This, not the growth model, is the operative question.

Political stability scored -1.6 in 2024, in the lowest band of the Worldwide Governance Indicators, with 954,000 people internally displaced (2025). The distance between scenarios here is set by whether the security situation holds, not by economic policy. The modelled band, drawn from recent economic history, does not describe what further deterioration would mean.

Why the band cannot contain it

Conflict does not appear in a trailing growth average until after it has already happened. A country at peace for fifteen years has no war in its variance.

What would invalidate the modelled band

Onset or escalation of armed conflict. The modelled band is drawn from economic history and contains no war; if this occurs, disregard the quantitative path entirely.

Assessed in words and deliberately not converted into a probability. This platform does not publish likelihoods it cannot derive from evidence.

AI evidence state · Cameroon

6 of 20 dimensions rest on a document or a measurement

4 dimensions have not been examined at all — which is a statement about this platform's research, not about Cameroon. There is no readiness score here: ranking countries by a weighted sum of twenty evidence states would manufacture a number nobody measured.

3 Measured A published measurement exists for this country and has been read.

3 Documented A policy, law, contract or programme document exists. No measurement of its effect has been found.

4 Inferred Assessed from adjacent indicators. Nothing AI-specific was found for this country; the reading is circumstantial.

6 Not evident Searched, and nothing was found. Informative — but the absence of a published record is not proof that nothing exists.

4 Unexamined This platform has not looked. This is a statement about the research, not about the country.

Full brief for Cameroon · Open in the atlas · Method · How to read the labels