AI, Work & Inclusion · standard chamber
Madagascar
Madagascar examined against the institutional questions its shared evidence supports.
Indicator baseline 0 reviewed documents 0/12 decision areas
No country-specific documents reviewed. Everything here rests on the shared indicator data alone.
Standard chamber. Ten countries have deep institutional chambers. This is not one of them, so this page answers the questions the shared indicator data and any reviewed documents support, and stops. What is absent here is unexamined, not measured and found empty.
Scenarios and horizons
What could materially change by 2031 and 2036?
| Momentum | Acceleration | Disruption | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | |
| Output per person | $601 | $607 | $613 | $611 | $673 | $742 | $586 | $525 | $471 |
| Electricity access | 45.8% | 53.1% | 59.5% | 47.3% | 57.7% | 66% | 44.6% | 49.7% | 54.2% |
| Internet use | 21.4% | 27.7% | 33.5% | 22.7% | 31.9% | 39.9% | 20.4% | 24.7% | 28.7% |
| Working-age population | 19.4m | 22.1m | 25m | 19.4m | 22.1m | 25m | 19.4m | 22.1m | 25m |
Scenarios are arithmetic on observed history under a published assumption. They are not predictions and carry no probability. 2026, 2031, 2036 are the only formal horizons — no value is projected for any year between them.
Youth labour-market entry
How many young people may enter working age, and what does entering the labour market look like?
| Youth unemployment | 5.2% (2025) | |
|---|---|---|
| Unemployment | 3% (2025) | |
| Under 15 | 38.9% (2025) | 12.7m people |
| Working age | 57.6% (2025) | 18.9m people |
| Working age (proj.) | 57.8% (2026) | 18.9m people |
| Secondary enrolment | 34.1% (2021) |
No reviewed document in this platform's research record bears on this question for this country. That is a gap in the evidence, not a finding about the country.
What kinds of work dominate
Where do people actually work, and how might that change?
| Farm employment | 69.2% (2025) | |
|---|---|---|
| Services employment | 20.9% (2025) | |
| Manufacturing | 13.1% (2024) | |
| Services | 48.8% (2025) | |
| Female participation rate | 82.9% (2025) |
Female participation rate — Labor force participation rate, female (% of female population ages 15+) (modeled ILO estimate). Percentage of the FEMALE population aged 15 and over who are in the labour force, employed or unemployed.
No reviewed document in this platform's research record bears on this question for this country. That is a gap in the evidence, not a finding about the country.
Infrastructure constraints
What are the physical limits — connection, power, and where they reach?
| Fixed broadband | 0.1 / 100 (2023) | |
|---|---|---|
| Internet use | 18.7% (2024) | 6.1m people |
| Mobile subscriptions | 75.5 / 100 (2023) | |
| Electricity access | 42.5% (2024) | 13.9m people |
| Rural electricity | 26.5% (2024) | 8.7m people |
No reviewed document in this platform's research record bears on this question for this country. That is a gap in the evidence, not a finding about the country.
Education and practical AI skills
What is the education base, and what is being built on top of it?
| Secondary enrolment | 34.1% (2021) | |
|---|---|---|
| Tertiary enrolment | 6.1% (2023) | |
| Adult literacy | 74.7% (2021) | |
| Education spend | 3% (2023) | |
| R&D spend | 0% (2017) |
No reviewed document in this platform's research record bears on this question for this country. That is a gap in the evidence, not a finding about the country.
Informal enterprise and MSMEs
How may informal enterprises and small firms be affected, and what would let one grow?
| Farm employment | 69.2% (2025) | |
|---|---|---|
| Services employment | 20.9% (2025) | |
| Private credit | 16.5% (2024) | |
| Account ownership (incl. mobile money) | 24.5% (2024) | 8m people |
Account ownership (incl. mobile money) — Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider (% of population ages 15+). Percentage of the population aged 15 and over. Counts an account at a bank or other financial institution, OR personal use of a mobile-money service in the past 12 months. Mobile money IS included.
No reviewed document in this platform's research record bears on this question for this country. That is a gap in the evidence, not a finding about the country.
Financial inclusion
Who can be paid, save or borrow — and on what definition?
| Account ownership (incl. mobile money) | 24.5% (2024) | 8m people |
|---|---|---|
| Private credit | 16.5% (2024) | |
| Remittances | 2.3% (2024) |
Account ownership (incl. mobile money) — Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider (% of population ages 15+). Percentage of the population aged 15 and over. Counts an account at a bank or other financial institution, OR personal use of a mobile-money service in the past 12 months. Mobile money IS included.
No reviewed document in this platform's research record bears on this question for this country. That is a gap in the evidence, not a finding about the country.
Digital public services
What can a citizen do with the state without queueing?
| Internet use | 18.7% (2024) | 6.1m people |
|---|---|---|
| Account ownership (incl. mobile money) | 24.5% (2024) | 8m people |
| Govt effectiveness | -0.86 (2024) | |
| Regulatory quality | -0.75 (2024) |
Account ownership (incl. mobile money) — Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider (% of population ages 15+). Percentage of the population aged 15 and over. Counts an account at a bank or other financial institution, OR personal use of a mobile-money service in the past 12 months. Mobile money IS included.
No reviewed document in this platform's research record bears on this question for this country. That is a gap in the evidence, not a finding about the country.
Institutional implementation capability
Can the state actually deliver what it commits to — fiscally, administratively, and through a political cycle?
| Govt effectiveness | -0.86 (2024) | |
|---|---|---|
| Regulatory quality | -0.75 (2024) | |
| Rule of law | -0.88 (2024) | |
| Govt revenue | 12.2% (2024) | |
| Govt debt | Not measured for this country in the shared register — unexamined, not zero. | |
No reviewed document in this platform's research record bears on this question for this country. That is a gap in the evidence, not a finding about the country.
Announced versus delivered
How much of what has been announced has actually arrived?
| Intent | 0 | Proposed, announced or approved. Nothing built. |
|---|---|---|
| Underway | 0 | Funded, procured or under construction. |
| Delivered | 0 | Partially or fully in service. |
| Stalled or withdrawn | 0 | Delayed, suspended or cancelled. |
Based on 0 dated records. A larger number means more evidence has been reviewed, not that more has happened.
Milestone timeline
What is dated, what state is it in, and what does it not establish?
No dated record is held for this country yet.
Lived experience
What does the evidence imply for a specific person, and who does it miss?
-
Observed Plausible implication
A young person entering work
38.9% of the population was under 15 in 2025; gross secondary enrolment was 34.1% in 2021; recorded youth unemployment was 5.2% in 2025.
Plausible implication, not measured: A cohort this size arriving against an enrolment rate below universal means the schooling a young person brings to the labour market varies widely, and a programme pitched above that level selects a minority of them.
What would settle it. Completion rates by sex and location, and destination data six and twelve months after leaving school. Neither is held here.
Who this misses. Young people already out of school, who are outside an enrolment measure by construction.
Evidence used: youth, secondary, youthunemp.
-
Observed Plausible implication
An informal trader or micro-enterprise owner
24.5% of people aged 15 and over held an account at a financial institution or personally used mobile money in 2024; domestic credit to the private sector was 16.5% of GDP in 2024; 20.9% of employment was in services in 2025.
Plausible implication, not measured: Being payable is not being financeable. An account is a payment rail, and nothing in this platform establishes that account records are used in any lending decision.
What would settle it. Firm-level credit surveys recording refusals and their reasons, and credit-bureau coverage figures.
Who this misses. Unregistered traders, who are outside most support instruments by design rather than by accident.
Evidence used: account, credit, servemp.
-
Observed Plausible implication
A farmer
69.2% of employment was in agriculture in 2025, producing 21.7% of GDP in 2025; rural household electricity access was 26.5% in 2024.
Plausible implication, not measured: Where the employment share far exceeds the output share, the productivity problem and the employment problem are the same problem. Rural power is the constraint on anything requiring storage, processing or irrigation.
What would settle it. Yield and farm-income panels linked to adoption of a specific tool or service.
Who this misses. Farmers without a connection at all, and anyone whose land tenure prevents investment regardless of technology.
Evidence used: agriemp, agrigdp, electricityrural.
-
Observed Plausible implication
A teacher or learner
Gross secondary enrolment 34.1% (2021); adult literacy 74.7% (2021); household electricity access 42.5% (2024).
Plausible implication, not measured: Evening study, device charging and any screen-based material all assume power at home. Where access is short of universal, a digital learning programme reaches the connected fraction of an already-enrolled fraction.
What would settle it. School-level electrification and connectivity audits, and learning outcomes disaggregated by both.
Who this misses. Non-literate adults, for whom a text-based service is unavailable regardless of coverage.
Evidence used: secondary, literacy, electricity.
-
Observed Plausible implication
A citizen using public services
18.7% of people used the internet in 2024; 24.5% of people aged 15 and over held an account or used mobile money in 2024; the government effectiveness estimate was -0.86 in 2024.
Plausible implication, not measured: Digitising a service moves it towards the people who can already reach it. Retaining an assisted or offline channel is what decides whether the rest keep access.
What would settle it. Service-level uptake by channel, and the share of transactions still completed in person.
Who this misses. People whose identity documents do not match registry records — unmeasured everywhere in this instrument.
Evidence used: internet, account, goveff.
-
Observed Plausible implication
A rural resident
Rural household electricity access 26.5% against 42.5% nationally (2024); basic drinking water 22.1% (2024).
Plausible implication, not measured: The 16-point gap between the national and rural figures is the distance between a national average and this person's actual position. An intervention designed against the average is designed for somebody else.
What would settle it. Sub-national service data. This platform holds a national and a rural figure and nothing between them.
Who this misses. Everyone in the unserved rural remainder, whose position no series here describes individually.
Evidence used: electricityrural, electricity, water.
Each situation is built only where the indicators it names are held for this country. Where they are not, it says so rather than substituting general prose — a situation the evidence cannot support would read as a finding. The observed line is measured; the line marked as a plausible implication is an argument, and it names what would settle it.
Evidence quality and gaps
How much has been reviewed here, how good is it, and what is ageing?
| Documents reviewed | 0 |
|---|---|
| Primary or official sources | 0 |
| Decision areas covered | 0 of 12 |
| Indicator coverage | 1 |
| Delivered records | 0 |
| At intent | 0 |
| Stalled or withdrawn | 0 |
Evidence depth differs between countries and this instrument renders the difference rather than smoothing it. A thin record is a statement about what has been reviewed. It is never a statement about the country, and it is never comparable to another country as a measure of performance.